Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.045040 0.053497 0.063005 0.074470 0.087908 0.103145 0.121719
2025-04-20 0.032285 0.043183 0.056853 0.075194 0.099095 0.129113 0.169600
2025-04-27 0.024851 0.036496 0.052408 0.075601 0.108388 0.152899 0.217697
2025-05-04 0.019983 0.031736 0.048981 0.075900 0.116586 0.175436 0.266575
2025-05-11 0.016729 0.028445 0.046734 0.077024 0.125508 0.199536 0.320360
2025-05-18 0.014607 0.026397 0.045844 0.079783 0.136921 0.228391 0.384672
2025-05-25 0.012017 0.023015 0.042132 0.077186 0.139074 0.242637 0.427292
2025-06-01 0.010350 0.020912 0.040169 0.077115 0.145217 0.263838 0.483632
2025-06-08 0.008864 0.018845 0.037893 0.076033 0.149254 0.281682 0.536046
2025-06-15 0.007984 0.017790 0.037304 0.077938 0.158892 0.310394 0.611028
2025-06-22 0.006945 0.016210 0.035423 0.076996 0.162877 0.329039 0.669357
2025-06-29 0.005958 0.014553 0.033108 0.074789 0.163973 0.342168 0.718438
2025-07-06 0.005058 0.012941 0.030669 0.072031 0.163726 0.352963 0.764956
2025-07-13 0.004587 0.012247 0.030139 0.073359 0.172336 0.382719 0.853676
2025-07-20 0.004123 0.011482 0.029317 0.073892 0.179252 0.409719 0.939743
2025-07-27 0.003706 0.010755 0.028465 0.074213 0.185704 0.436418 1.028162
2025-08-03 0.003384 0.010213 0.027973 0.075319 0.194110 0.468334 1.131648
2025-08-10 0.003173 0.009940 0.028115 0.078021 0.206688 0.511061 1.264312
2025-08-17 0.002755 0.008988 0.026327 0.075480 0.205979 0.522910 1.326708
2025-08-24 0.002490 0.008434 0.025519 0.075410 0.211511 0.550157 1.428629
2025-08-31 0.002220 0.007811 0.024413 0.074351 0.214309 0.571045 1.517374
2025-09-07 0.002077 0.007564 0.024351 0.076216 0.225168 0.613164 1.663348
2025-09-14 0.001864 0.007040 0.023377 0.075294 0.228260 0.635863 1.762536